EPIC WEATHER DISCUSSION REPORT
Date(UTC):
2001/09/29 14:54
Author:
Bates
Submitted at(UTC):
20010929:14:57
REVIEW OF PREVIOUS FORECAST
manana weather continued....tropical-extratropical interactions dominate...
GENERAL OVERVIEW
EPIC area remains under influence of tropical-extratropical interactions as deep mid-latitude trough
continues deep into the Gulf of Mexico. Interaction of this flow with tropics is generating most of the action
in the EPIC region. Cb activity previously along 95W set up by tehuantepec jet now has drifted further west
and is exiting area (Image 1). Cloudiness over Isthmus suggests there is still some flow across, so additional Cb activity
may re-generate along 93-95W in the next few days. Some Cb activity along ITCZ from 7-10N, except
along 95W where they are flying today. Substantial Cb activity just west of central america. Streamline (Image 2)
analysis suggests westerly flow at 850mb may be converging into easterlies/land breeze there. Will have to
watch this to see if it drifts west or not...
DISCUSSION
Will keep yesterdays synopsis....
NWP models showing deep 500mb trough in Gulf of Mex to persist thru 96 hours.
So, will go with persistence - manana - as the forecast.
SUMMARY
P3 lost #2 engine on mission yesterday and recovered in corpus christi for repairs...
Image 1
Image 2