EPIC WEATHER DISCUSSION REPORT


Date(UTC): 2001/09/29 14:54
Author: Bates
Submitted at(UTC): 20010929:14:57

REVIEW OF PREVIOUS FORECAST

manana weather continued....tropical-extratropical interactions dominate...

GENERAL OVERVIEW

EPIC area remains under influence of tropical-extratropical interactions as deep mid-latitude trough 
continues deep into the Gulf of Mexico.  Interaction of this flow with tropics is generating most of the action 
in the EPIC region.  Cb activity previously along 95W set up by tehuantepec jet now has drifted further west 
and is exiting area (Image 1).  Cloudiness over Isthmus suggests there is still some flow across, so additional Cb activity 
may re-generate along 93-95W in the next few days.  Some Cb activity along ITCZ from 7-10N, except 
along 95W where they are flying today.  Substantial Cb activity just west of central america.  Streamline (Image 2)
analysis suggests westerly flow at 850mb may be converging into easterlies/land breeze there.  Will have to 
watch this to see if it drifts west or not...



DISCUSSION

Will keep yesterdays synopsis....

NWP models showing deep 500mb trough in Gulf of Mex to persist thru 96 hours.
So, will go with persistence - manana - as the forecast.

SUMMARY

P3 lost #2 engine on mission yesterday and recovered in corpus christi for repairs...




Image 1
Image 2