EPIC WEATHER DISCUSSION REPORT


Date(UTC): 2001/09/27 15:54
Author: Bates
Submitted at(UTC): 20010927:15:57

REVIEW OF PREVIOUS FORECAST

Strong northeasterly flow alaoft yesterday (35-45 kts) picked up diurnal
convection inland along the ridgeline and carried it over us last evening
with a few thunderstorms in HUX.

GENERAL OVERVIEW

A cold front that pushed deep into the Gulf of Mexico is having some influence on the EPIC area.  Winds 
are blowing across the Isthmus of Tehuantepec and a shear line/cloud line along 93W continues to have 
some Cb activity along it (Image 1).  The warm pool east of 93W and north of 6N is mostly clear.  Activity along 93W 
may not diminish since another surge of cold air deep into the Gulf of Mexico is predicted by the global 
models.  


DISCUSSION

So, persistence is the forecast for the next several days with a slight drying trend.



SUMMARY

Given the number of days left versus the number of flight hours and required down days, Dave Raymond has 
posted this tentative schedule for flights thru the end of the HUX operations:
Thu 27         MAINTENANCE (P3 arrives)
Fri 28         C130/P3            ITCZ/ITCZ
Sat 29         C130/P3            ITCZ/ITCZ
Sun 30         MAINTENANCE
Mon 1 Oct      HARD DOWN, C130/P3
Tue 2          C130/P3            ITCZ/ITCZ
Wed 3          C130/P3            SST front/ITCZ
Thu 4          MAINTENANCE
Fri 5          C130/P3            SST front/ITCZ
Sat 6          C130/P3            95 W/ITCZ
Sun 7          HARD DOWN, C130 (P3 leaves)
Mon 8          MAINTENANCE
Tue 9          C130               95 W
Wed 10         C130               95 W

Aerosondes are still not operational.

Image 1