EPIC WEATHER DISCUSSION REPORT

REVIEW OF PREVIOUS FORECAST

A series of easterly waves continues to dominate weather in the EPIC area 
and in the Carribbean...see details below...

GENERAL OVERVIEW

Attention now focussed on strong easterly wave in western Carribbean.  Have
watched as it kept cloud shield the past several days even though it was 
partially over the northern coast of s. America.  As it moved offshore into
the western carribbean last night, convection blew up.  Vis image this morning
shows impressive system (Image 1)with good outflow all quadrants.  Wisc. upper
winds continue to show this system in deep east to east-northeast flow (Image 2)
, so I give system 75-25 chance of making it into EPAC vs moving northwest
off Belieze.  Pete B. goes for 50-50....we'll see manana....

Otherwise, EPIC area had linear line of convection along 90W from 7-12N that will
pass 95w tonight with a few Cb.  Otherwise...quiet.

DISCUSSION

Flight plans are evolving based on where this strong wave goes.  HRD also on
hold to see if system makes it  to EPAC or not.....

SUMMARY

Wed - C130 95w flight; P3 no flight
Thurs - ITCZ flight both a/c
Fri - P3 - depending on wave passage ocean probes
Sat - C130 95w, P3 ocean probe? tbd on wave passage