EPIC WEATHER DISCUSSION REPORT


Date(UTC): 2001/09/17 17:14
Author: Bates
Submitted at(UTC): 20010917:17:20

REVIEW OF PREVIOUS FORECAST

Good ITCZ flight yesterday.  C130 made 2 top to bottom circuits of convective
complexes with help of p3 radar...but...p3 radar recording may not have worked.
...arrg

GENERAL OVERVIEW

Looks like weather over the EPIC area will be organized the next few days by a series of easterly waves 
moving into the area from the Atlantic across central america.  First wave is currently over 95W with 
associated convection extending from 100w to 93w and from 8n-13n (Image 1).  Following this wave, convection is 
suppressed from 92w back to the coast of central america.  Next wave at 65W near 11n (Image 2).  So may see more 
regular timing of 2 days with enhanced convection, 1 day transition, 2 days suppressed convection.  95w is 
near the transition line today.








DISCUSSION

Will be interesting to see if we can track easterly wave now at 65w 11 n 
across into EPIC area or not...

SUMMARY


Mon - hard down day both a/c
Tues - down day both a/c
Wed - 95w mission c130; p3 tbd
Thurs - down - p3 resupply in fl?
Fri - tbd




Image 1
Image 2