EPIC WEATHER DISCUSSION REPORT

REVIEW OF PREVIOUS FORECAST

Dry phase of easterly wave has passed over last 3-4 days generally suppressing
convection in the EPIC area.  Things no returning to near noemal.

GENERAL OVERVIEW

Conditions are returning to near normal over the EPIC area after the passage of a dry phase of an easterly 
wave.  Convection is returning all along the ITCZ from 8-10N east of 100W (Image 1).  North of the ITCZ over the 
warm pool, convection is starting to boil up again after being relatively suppressed the last 3-4 days.  Expect 
this trend to continue.  With no clear synoptic disturbances, convection will occur in mesoscale complexes 
and along outflow boundaries from individual systems.  Microwave precip. water has increased south of the 
ITCZ all the way to 8S along with cu and strato-cu cloud coverage; so plentiful moisture feeding in to ITCZ.
This is well depicted on SSMI PW hovmoller along 95W (Image 2).

DISCUSSION

Convection starting to boil up in warm pool and along ITCZ bodes well for
ITCZ mission tomorrow.

SUMMARY

BT drops from C130 disappointing yesterday - no clear reason why
Sat - no flights
Sun - ITCZ mission both a/c
Mon - no flights
Tues - 95w mission likely C130; P3 TBD