EPIC WEATHER DISCUSSION REPORT
Date(UTC):
2001/09/04 19:49
Author:
Bates
Submitted at(UTC):
20010904:20:13
REVIEW OF PREVIOUS FORECAST
C-130 was able to get right into the line of convection that developed right
along 95W about mid-day yesterday....they got into 10 m/s updrafts and a peak
of 17 m/s...yeeha. Not too turbulent though. good data collection by both A/C
and the C-130 mad final approach turn right over the hotel last evening.
Wisconsin winds seem to be in much better agreement with ob served than NHC
streamlines. NHC continues to show vorticity much further east than Wis.,
who show an enlongated lobe to the west.
GENERAL OVERVIEW
Down day for aircraft and lots of data processing.
This western vort center appears to have taken over. Vis loops show a
nice inverted-V pattern with the apex at 18z near 8N, 95W (Image 1). It's moving right
along and will be west of the 95w flight track by tomorrow. There is a line of
convection just north and west of this along an outflow boundary. There are other scatttered
storm to the east of the wave along old outflow boundaries. Ir loop from last night
showed lots of action over central america and these outflow boundaries drifted
over the ocean this am producing some convection that seems to be settling
down now.
Gregg has a nice GOES SST composite image going...will have to get him to add it
to the catalog
DISCUSSION
Looks to be a rather large diurnal cycle at this time.....
Wave looks like it will be a bit west of here by flights tomorrow, but should
have trailing convection of the inV a bit further south....update later
SUMMARY
Image 1